Today marks the start of a very active weather pattern for the area. We are going to see the threat of heavy rain, strong storms, and flooding almost everyday for the next few. We could see over 11" of rain by Tuesday morning! That's right, 11" of rain. That much rain can cause a lot of problems.
Thursday morning is starting off dry but as we progress through the day, the chance of rain will increase. Showers and storms will develop across the Plains and move in from the SW. Widespread heavy rain will be possible late today into the overnight hours. A few stronger storms could develop and the biggest threat with these storms will be large hail. Most models are showing over an inch of rain for the next 24 hours.
Overnight a warm front is going to move north through the Ozarks. This is going to cause overnight temperatures to stay steady or even warm a degree or two. Not a common scenario.